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Commentsby Bob Brandon....Bob Brandon
Gotta Wear Shades 

In 1443, a Japanese Shinto monk began to record an event that had happened for eons:  The freeze and thaw dates of Lake Suwa.  The holy men consider it a sacred body of water where Gods are believed to travel only when fully frozen.  Over the centuries, the records have been faithfully maintained and documented.  The facts are irrefutable.  The earth is getting warmer. 

This conclusive claim doesn't rely only on the Ice Monks, others have kept winter records for centuries, including Ship Captains and Mountain Men Fur Traders.  It's an amazing compendium of weather facts, and it points incontrovertably to the fact that winter in the northern hemisphere is not quite as cold or as long as our ancestors had to endure. 

The Journal, Science features an article today (9/8/00) that cites sources in the US, Scandanavia and Russia that show rivers are frozen an average of 18 and a half days less today than just 150 years ago.  So what's the big deal?  Isn't winter a bad thing, and warmer weather good? 

It may feel better to your skin, but a warmer planet could mean trouble.  The experts have been warning us about the Greenhouse Effect for years, but most of us have chosen to ignore the warnings.  I mean, what can I do?  It's the weather, nobody can do anything about that...and besides, I've got to go online.  And so we consume more and more energy, creating mammoth power grids that spit out megawatts and foul the sky. 

But what the hell, the sky is infinite, so just keep pumping in that coal and oil.  See?  There goes the smoke.  Bye bye. And besides, powerplants aren't the only culprit.  Look at all those cars! 

By far, due to sheer numbers, cars and trucks create the most pollution, followed closely by factories.  But old coal fired powerplants are filthy beyond words.  On average, one plant belches as much poision into the atmosphere as nearly 20,000 cars.  Multiply that number by they dozens of coal fired operations, and it's amazing we have any blue in the sky at all. 

And then there's the need many of us have to consume mass quantities of energy.  Most of it we can see, like right now to power your computer, or TV, or anything else you can turn on and off.  But then there are all the adjunct energy requirements.  The clothing you wear, the cereal you eat, the newspaper you wrap fish in, all have added to the greenhouse mass.  Hey, it's not our fault that we can waste more energy in a single hour than a family in Rwanda uses in a year.  We're entitled to it.  We know how to rape the planet and scoff when it balks. 

I admit to being an energy pig.  I drive my car too much, too fast, burn too many lights, buy too many disposable items, and generally live it up at the expense of my grandkids.  We all do.  People who have tried to warn us of the impending doom have always been viewed as somewhat odd, hippies, or less than serious.  Hey shut up, let's go to McDonalds. 

It's all coming together now.  The more disposable things you buy, the more pollution is created making them.  The gargantuan appetite the world has for energy can be satisfied with renewable resources like solar, wind, hydro and others that until now just didn't make good economic sense. 

So what are we going to do?  Choose to ignore the fact that every 8 years winter grows a day shorter?  Remember Pope Gregory XIII?  He's the guy who fixed the calendar.  It was ok for a few hundred years after the Julius Caesar, but by the 16th century, the vernal equinox was happening almost two weeks early.  That's an example of what's happening, but now much more quickly.  By the middle of the next century, there could be no snow at all. 

What will that do to the delicate balance of our global weather?  I don't think anyone really knows conclusively, but the general conjecture from those who have devoted their lives to its study indicate intense climatic changes, including huge killer storms, droughts, floods, and extensive crop loss. 

With an increase in pollution, and you can count on an increase, it could happen even earlier.  Many people are living well into their 90s and even beyond.  It's likely this is a problem that could affect you personally.  As the temperature goes up, so do the diseases that threaten human well-being.  Food will be more difficult to grow, and more expensive, people will be hungry. 

Maybe that will get us to wake up.  Maybe we'll start riding public transportation, turning off lights, and stop buying so many throwaway stuff.  Maybe we'll force carmakers to evolve past hydrocarbon fuel. Maybe we'll all become hippies and give a damn.  But it probably won't help much. 

It may slow the process, but this train is on an express route.  And it's entirely possible Earth would warm anyway.  While the industrialization and consumer demands have helped nudge the thermostat, the records scientists have been studying show an increase beginning before the the industrial revolution, suggesting this may be part of our planet's natural cycle. 

We know this piece of rock is over 6 billion years old, and we are pretty sure mankind came to the party about 25,000 years ago.  Our recorded history is just a blink of an eye in the geologic record.  It's possible that no matter what we do, we're all gonna be more tanned in the future. 

.

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